Abstract There is international agreement that photovoltaic energy (PE) is a pillar of the energy transition required to mitigate the effects of global warming. The general objective of this article is to make a first geospatial approximation to estimate the proportion of territory and the amount of electricity feasible to be generated by the photovoltaic process in the state of Sonora. In order to achieve this objective, it is first necessary to determine the most appropriate method for identifying these sites. In the literature, it has been found that the Analytical Hierarchical Process (AHP) is one of the most used methods for the selection of sites for the production of different types of solar energy, mainly photovoltaic (Suprova et al., 2020; Malemnganbi and Shimray, 2020; Al Garni and Awasthi, 2017; Solangi et al., 2019). Where the mixture of GIS and AHP is one of the most appropriate submethods to identify these sites and apply specific conditions to them (Chandio et al., 2012), in this particular case through the application of equations using map algebra to estimate the theoretical electricity production for the entire federal entity with the photovoltaic process. Since Geographic Information Systems (GIS)-AHP allow the spatialization of specific objectives. Therefore, the first task is to spatialize the deterministic variables of the photovoltaic process, as well as the locations where it is not possible to produce this energy. In this case, the meteorological variables were obtained thanks to the data of the CESAVE-SIAFESON weather stations (2020). Due to data availability and consistency issues, a total of 97 stations were used. The stations consist of a number of different climatological gauges. Since these data are geographically punctual, it was necessary to use spatial interpolation techniques to make them continuous. The rest of the selection criteria are obtained from various sources of information. In the case of terrain elevations from the Mexican Continuum of Elevations of INEGI (n.d.), the slope and orientation of the terrain were estimated with the elevation data using the geodetic technique of its respective method in the Arcmap software. The roads were taken from the national road network obtained from INEGI (2020), the corresponding urban and rural areas from INEGI (2016), and the power lines from CENACE (2016). The proximity method used for these three variables was the path-distance method of the Arcmap software. Exclusion criteria were power transmission lines (CENACE, 2016), World Heritage Sites (CONANP, 2021a), protected natural areas (CONANP, 2021), native vegetation and habitats (INEGI, 2017), water bodies (INEGI, 2009), urban and rural spots (INEGI, 2016), social property found in the Sonora cadastral map (INEGI, 2016a), road network (INEGI, 2020c), places with slopes greater than 10 degrees (INEGI, n. f.), and tourist, religious, airport, and other sites (INEGI, 2020c). Thus, we had both the deterministic variables and the locations unsuitable for the installation of solar plants. To identify the relative importance of the deterministic variables, similar studies were used, such as Sanchez-Lozano et al. (2013), Chen et al. (2014), Noorollahi et al. (2016), Zoghi et al. (2017), Doljak and Stanojević (2017), Al Garni and Awasthi (2017) and Doorga et al. (2018). In light of this, the AHP method was applied to the spatial data in order to generate the ranking of sites to achieve the goal of producing electricity through the photovoltaic process. A specific equation using map algebra (Obukhov et al., 2017; Ropp et al., 1997; Faiman, 2008; Huld and Gracia Amillo, 2015) was applied to both the results and the whole of Sonora to estimate the electricity that could be generated using solar panels. It was found that 35.85% of the territory could be used to generate this energy, and that only 0.58% of this territory, corresponding to 1,081 km2, could supply all of Mexico’s electricity consumption in 2020 (Expansión, n.d.). Thus, photovoltaic energy in the country is a fundamental resource with high feasibility to achieve the energy transition.
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