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au:Ichihara, Maria Yury Travassos

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Presidential election results in 2018-2022 and its association with excess mortality during the 2020-2021 COVID-19 pandemic in Brazilian municipalities
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Lima, Everton Emanuel Campos de

; Costa, Lilia Carolina Carneiro da

; Souza, Rafael F.

; Rocha, Cleiton O. da E.

; Ichihara, Maria Yury Travassos

Cadernos de Saúde Pública

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2024, Volume 40 N. 5 elocation e00194723

Abstract: Es En Pt | Text: Es En Pt | PDF: Es | PDF: En | PDF: Pt

Resumen: A partir de datos municipales sobre certificados de defunción registrados en el Ministerio de Salud de Brasil y de los resultados electorales de la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de 2018 y 2022, se evaluó si existe una asociación entre el exceso de mortalidad y el partidismo político en Brasil. Ante la postura del ex presidente brasileño de desacreditar y desatender la gravedad de la pandemia, probablemente exista una relación entre las altas tasas de mortalidad durante la crisis de salud del COVID-19 y el número de votos municipales para Bolsonaro. Los resultados demostraron que, en ambas elecciones, el porcentaje de votos municipales en la primera vuelta para Bolsonaro estuvo asociado positivamente con los picos de alta de muertes en los municipios brasileños para el período 2020-2021. Incluso con la alta mortalidad durante la pandemia, la lealtad política de Bolsonaro no disminuyó durante el segundo período electoral en 2022. Una de las posibles explicaciones es que esto se vincula al escenario político brasileño, que vive una política tribal y polarización afectiva.

Abstract: We evaluated the hypothesis of an association between excess mortality and political partisanship in Brazil using municipal death certificates registered in the Brazilian Ministry of Health database and first-round electoral results of Presidential elections in 2018 and 2022. Considering the former Brazilian President’s stance of discrediting and neglecting the severity of the pandemic, we expect a possible relationship between excessive mortality rates during the COVID-19 health crisis and the number of municipal votes for Bolsonaro. Our results showed that, in both elections, the first-round percentage of municipal votes for Bolsonaro was positively associated with the peaks of excess deaths across Brazilian municipalities in 2020 and 2021. Despite the excess mortality during the pandemic, the political loyalty to Bolsonaro remained the same during the electoral period of 2022. A possible explanation for this is linked to the Brazilian political scenario, which presents an environment of tribal politics and affective polarization.

Resumo: Usando dados municipais em declarações de óbito registrados no Ministério da Saúde e resultados eleitorais do primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais de 2018 e 2022, avaliamos a hipótese de que há associação entre excesso de mortalidade e partidarismo político no Brasil. Dada a postura do ex-presidente brasileiro de desacreditar e negligenciar a gravidade da pandemia, esperamos que haja possivelmente uma relação entre as taxas excessivas de mortalidade durante a crise sanitária da COVID-19 e o número de votos municipais para Bolsonaro. Nossos resultados mostraram que, em ambas as eleições, o percentual de votos municipais no primeiro turno para Bolsonaro foi positivamente associado aos picos de excesso de mortes nos municípios brasileiros em 2020 e 2021. Mesmo com o excesso de mortalidade durante a pandemia, a lealdade política de Bolsonaro não diminuiu durante o segundo período eleitoral em 2022. Uma possível explicação para isso está ligada ao cenário político brasileiro, que vive um ambiente de política tribal e polarização afetiva.

https://doi.org/10.1590/0102-311xen194723

Presidential election results in 2018-2022 and its association with excess mortality during the 2020-2021 COVID-19 pandemic in Brazilian municipalities 20182022 2018 2022 2018-202 20202021 2020 2021 2020-202 COVID19 COVID 19 COVID-1 2018202 201 202 2018-20 2020202 2020-20 COVID1 1 COVID- 201820 20 2018-2 202020 2020-2 20182 2 2018- 20202 2020-
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Lima, Everton Emanuel Campos de

; Costa, Lilia Carolina Carneiro da

; Souza, Rafael F.

; Rocha, Cleiton O. da E.

; Ichihara, Maria Yury Travassos

Cadernos de Saúde Pública

Journal Metrics
- Sobre o periódico
- SciELO Analytics

2024, Volume 40 N. 5 elocation e00194723

Abstract: Es En Pt | Text: Es En Pt | PDF: Es | PDF: En | PDF: Pt

https://doi.org/10.1590/0102-311xen194723

Differentials in death count records by databases in Brazil in 2010
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Diógenes, Victor Hugo Dias

; Pinto Júnior, Elzo Pereira

; Gonzaga, Marcos Roberto

; Queiroz, Bernardo Lanza

; Lima, Everton E. C.

; Costa, Lilia Carolina C. da

; Rocha, Aline S.

; Ferreira, Andrêa J. F.

; Teixeira, Camila S. S.

; Alves, Flávia Jôse O.

; Rameh, Leila

; Flores-Ortiz, Renzo

; Leyland, Alastair

; Dundas, Ruth

; Barreto, Maurício L.

; Ichihara, Maria Yury Travassos

Revista de Saúde Pública

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2022, Volume 56 elocation 92

Abstract: En | Text: En | PDF: En

ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE To compare the death counts from three sources of information on mortality available in Brazil in 2010, the Mortality Information System (SIM - Sistema de Informações sobre Mortalidade ), Civil Registration Statistic System (RC - Sistema de Estatísticas de Resgistro Civil ), and the 2010 Demographic Census at various geographical levels, and to confirm the association between municipal socioeconomic characteristics and the source which showed the highest death count. METHODS This is a descriptive and comparative study of raw data on deaths in the SIM, RC and 2010 Census databases, the latter held in Brazilian states and municipalities between August 2009 and July 2010. The percentage of municipalities was confirmed by the database showing the highest death count. The association between the source of the highest death count and socioeconomic indicators - the Índice de Privação Brasileiro (IBP – Brazilian Deprivation Index) and Índice de Desenvolvimento Humano Municipal (IHDM – Municipal Human Development Index) - was performed by bivariate choropleth and Moran Local Index of Spatial Association (LISA) cluster maps. RESULTS Confirmed that the SIM is the database with the highest number of deaths counted for all Brazilian macroregions, except the North, in which the highest coverage was from the 2010 Census. Based on the indicators proposed, in general, the Census showed a higher coverage of deaths than the SIM and the RC in the most deprived (highest IBP values) and less developed municipalities (lowest IDHM values) in the country. CONCLUSION The results highlight regional inequalities in how the databases chosen for this study cover death records, and the importance of maintaining the issue of mortality on the basic census questionnaire.

https://doi.org/10.11606/s1518-8787.2022056004282

Differentials in death count records by databases in Brazil in 2010
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Diógenes, Victor Hugo Dias

; Pinto Júnior, Elzo Pereira

; Gonzaga, Marcos Roberto

; Queiroz, Bernardo Lanza

; Lima, Everton E. C.

; Costa, Lilia Carolina C. da

; Rocha, Aline S.

; Ferreira, Andrêa J. F.

; Teixeira, Camila S. S.

; Alves, Flávia Jôse O.

; Rameh, Leila

; Flores-Ortiz, Renzo

; Leyland, Alastair

; Dundas, Ruth

; Barreto, Maurício L.

; Ichihara, Maria Yury Travassos

Revista de Saúde Pública

Journal Metrics
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2022, Volume 56 elocation 92

Abstract: En | Text: En | PDF: En

https://doi.org/10.11606/s1518-8787.2022056004282

Métodos para avaliação da efetividade de vacinas para COVID-19 com ênfase em abordagens quase-experimentais
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Pescarini, Julia Moreira

; Teixeira, Camila Silveira Silva

; Cruz, Enny Paixão

; Ortelan, Naia

; Pinto, Priscila Fernanda Porto Scaff

; Ferreira, Andrêa Jacqueline Fortes

; Alves, Flavia Jôse Oliveira

; Pinto Junior, Elzo Pereira

; Falcão, Ila Rocha

; Rocha, Aline dos Santos

; Silva, Nivea Bispo da

; Ortiz, Renzo Flores

; Saavedra, Ramon da Costa

; Oliveira, Vinicius de Araújo

; Ribeiro-Silva, Rita de Cássia

; Ichihara, Maria Yury Travassos

; Boaventura, Viviane

; Barral Netto, Manoel

; Kerr, Ligia Regina Franco Sansigolo

; Werneck, Guilherme Loureiro

; Barreto, Mauricio L.

Ciência & Saúde Coletiva

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nov 2021, Volume 26 N. 11 Pages 5599 - 5614

Abstract: Pt En | Text: Pt En | PDF: Pt | PDF: En

Resumo A avalição da efetividade de vacinas é feita com dados do mundo real e é essencial para monitorar o desempenho dos programas de vacinação ao longo do tempo bem como frente a novas variantes. Até o momento, a avaliação da efetividade das vacinas para COVID-19 tem sido baseada em métodos clássicos como estudos de coorte e caso controle teste-negativo, que muitas vezes podem não permitir o adequado controle dos vieses intrínsecos da alocação das campanhas de vacinação. O objetivo dessa revisão foi discutir os desenhos de estudo disponíveis para avaliação de efetividade das vacinas, enfatizando os estudos quase-experimentais, que buscam mimetizar os estudos aleatorizados ao introduzir um componente exógeno para atribuição ao tratamento, bem como suas vantagens, limitações e aplicabilidade no contexto dos dados brasileiros. O emprego de métodos quase-experimentais, incluindo as séries temporais interrompidas, o método de diferença em diferenças, escore de propensão, variáveis instrumentais e regressão descontínua, são relevantes pela possibilidade de gerar estimativas mais acuradas da efetividade de vacinas para COVID-19 em cenários como o brasileiro, que se caracteriza pelo uso de várias vacinas, com respectivos número e intervalos entre doses, aplicadas em diferentes faixas etárias e em diferentes momentos da pandemia.

Abstract The evaluation of vaccine effectiveness is conducted with real-world data. They are essential to monitor the performance of vaccination programmes over time, and in the context of the emergence of new variants. Until now, the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines has been assessed based on classic methods, such as cohort and test-negative case-control studies, which may often not allow for adequate control of inherent biases in the assignment of vaccination campaigns. The aim of this review was to discuss the study designs available to evaluate vaccine effectiveness, highlighting quasi-experimental studies, which seek to mimic randomized trials, by introducing an exogenous component to allocate to treatment, in addition to the advantages, limitations, and applicability in the context of Brazilian data. The use of quasi-experimental approaches, such as interrupted time series, difference-in-differences, propensity scores, instrumental variables, and regression discontinuity design, are relevant due to the possibility of providing more accurate estimates of COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness. This is especially important in scenarios such as the Brazilian, which characterized by the use of various vaccines, with the respective numbers and intervals between doses, applied to different age groups, and introduced at different times during the pandemic.

https://doi.org/10.1590/1413-812320212611.18622021 1 downloads

Covid-19 no nordeste do Brasil: entre o lockdown e o relaxamento das medidas de distanciamento social
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Ximenes, Ricardo Arraes de Alencar

; Albuquerque, Maria de Fatima Pessoa Militão de

; Martelli, Celina Maria Turchi

; Araújo, Thália Velho Barreto de

; Miranda Filho, Demócrito de Barros

; Souza, Wayner Vieira de

; Ichihara, Maria Yury Travassos

; Lira, Pedro Israel Cabral de

; Kerr, Ligia Regina Franco Sansigolo

; Aquino, Estela ML

; Silva, Antônio Augusto Moura da

; Almeida, Rosa Lívia Freitas de

; Kendall, Carl

; Pescarini, Julia M

; Brandão Filho, Sinval Pinto

; Almeida-Filho, Naomar

; Oliveira, Juliane Fonseca de

; Teles, Carlos

; Jorge, Daniel Cardoso Pereira

; Santana, Guilherme

; Gabrielli, Ligia

; Rodrigues, Moreno MS

; Silva, Natanael Jesus da

; Souza, Rafael Felipe da Silva

; Silva, Vivian Alessandra Ferreira da

; Barreto, Maurício Lima

Ciência & Saúde Coletiva

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apr 2021, Volume 26 N. 4 Pages 1441 - 1456

Abstract: Pt En | Text: Pt En | PDF: Pt | PDF: En

Resumo Mesmo no período em que a pandemia de Covid-19 encontrava-se em crescimento no Nordeste do Brasil, iniciou-se a adoção de medidas de flexibilização do distanciamento social. O objetivo do estudo é o de avaliar a pertinência das propostas de flexibilização, tomando-se em conta a situação da pandemia em cada local e o momento em que foram adotadas. Tendo como referência as diretrizes da OMS, foram construídos e analisados indicadores operacionais para cada diretriz, no contexto da região Nordeste. Para análise do comportamento da epidemia, conforme indicadores selecionados, foram usadas técnicas de Joinpoint Trend Analysis, mapas de calor, razão de taxas e comparação da tendência temporal entre capitais e interior dos estados. O pico do crescimento semanal ocorreu em maio-julho/2020 (semanas epidemiológicas 19 a 31). Na maioria das capitais não se observou tendência decrescente simultânea do número de casos e óbitos nos 14 dias prévios à flexibilização. Em todos os estados o quantitativo de testes realizados foi insuficiente. Na semana epidemiológica 24 os percentuais estaduais de ocupação de leitos de UTI/Covid-19 foram próximos ou superiores 70%. A situação epidemiológica das nove capitais dos estados do Nordeste, no momento em que a decisão de flexibilização foi tomada, mostra que nenhuma delas atendia aos critérios e parâmetros recomendados pela OMS.

Abstract Even in the period when the Covid-19 pandemic was on the rise in the Northeast of Brazil, the relaxation of social distancing measures was introduced. The scope of the study is to assess, in the light of the epidemiological-sanitary situation in the region, the suitability of relaxation of social distancing measures. Based on the WHO guidelines for relaxation of social distancing, operational indicators were created and analyzed for each guideline in the context of the Northeast. To analyze the behavior of the epidemic, according to selected indicators, Joinpoint trend analysis techniques, heat maps, rate ratios and time trends between capitals and the state interior were compared. The weekly growth peak of the epidemic occurred in May-July 2020 (epidemiological weeks 19 to 31). In most capitals, there was no simultaneous downward trend in the number of cases and deaths in the 14 days prior to flexibilization. In all states the number of tests performed was insufficient. In epidemiological week 24, the state percentages of ICU/Covid-19 bed occupancy were close to or above 70%. The epidemiological situation of the nine Northeastern state capitals analyzed here did not meet criteria and parameters recommended by the World Health Organization for the relaxation of social distancing measures.

https://doi.org/10.1590/1413-81232021264.39422020 2043 downloads

Covid-19 no nordeste do Brasil: entre o lockdown e o relaxamento das medidas de distanciamento social
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Ximenes, Ricardo Arraes de Alencar

; Albuquerque, Maria de Fatima Pessoa Militão de

; Martelli, Celina Maria Turchi

; Araújo, Thália Velho Barreto de

; Miranda Filho, Demócrito de Barros

; Souza, Wayner Vieira de

; Ichihara, Maria Yury Travassos

; Lira, Pedro Israel Cabral de

; Kerr, Ligia Regina Franco Sansigolo

; Aquino, Estela ML

; Silva, Antônio Augusto Moura da

; Almeida, Rosa Lívia Freitas de

; Kendall, Carl

; Pescarini, Julia M

; Brandão Filho, Sinval Pinto

; Almeida-Filho, Naomar

; Oliveira, Juliane Fonseca de

; Teles, Carlos

; Jorge, Daniel Cardoso Pereira

; Santana, Guilherme

; Gabrielli, Ligia

; Rodrigues, Moreno MS

; Silva, Natanael Jesus da

; Souza, Rafael Felipe da Silva

; Silva, Vivian Alessandra Ferreira da

; Barreto, Maurício Lima

Ciência & Saúde Coletiva

Journal Metrics
- Sobre o periódico
- SciELO Analytics

2021, Volume 26 N. 4 Pages 1441 - 1456

Abstract: Pt En | Text: Pt En | PDF: Pt | PDF: En

https://doi.org/10.1590/1413-81232021264.39422020

Métodos para avaliação da efetividade de vacinas para COVID-19 com ênfase em abordagens quase-experimentais
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Pescarini, Julia Moreira

; Teixeira, Camila Silveira Silva

; Cruz, Enny Paixão

; Ortelan, Naia

; Pinto, Priscila Fernanda Porto Scaff

; Ferreira, Andrêa Jacqueline Fortes

; Alves, Flavia Jôse Oliveira

; Pinto Junior, Elzo Pereira

; Falcão, Ila Rocha

; Rocha, Aline dos Santos

; Silva, Nivea Bispo da

; Ortiz, Renzo Flores

; Saavedra, Ramon da Costa

; Oliveira, Vinicius de Araújo

; Ribeiro-Silva, Rita de Cássia

; Ichihara, Maria Yury Travassos

; Boaventura, Viviane

; Barral Netto, Manoel

; Kerr, Ligia Regina Franco Sansigolo

; Werneck, Guilherme Loureiro

; Barreto, Mauricio L.

Ciência & Saúde Coletiva

Journal Metrics
- Sobre o periódico
- SciELO Analytics

2021, Volume 26 N. 11 Pages 5599 - 5614

Abstract: Pt En | Text: Pt En | PDF: Pt | PDF: En

https://doi.org/10.1590/1413-812320212611.18622021

Area deprivation measures used in Brazil: a scoping review
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Ichihara, Maria Yury Travassos

; Ramos, Dandara

; Rebouças, Poliana

; Oliveira, Flávia Jôse

; Ferreira, Andrêa J. F.

; Teixeira, Camila

; Allik, Mirjam

; Katikireddi, Srinivasa Vittal

; Barreto, Mauricio L.

; Leyland, Alastair H

; Dundas, Ruth

Revista de Saúde Pública

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2018, Volume 52 elocation 83

Abstract: En | Text: En | PDF: En

ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE To describe and assess currently used area-based measures of deprivation in Brazil for health research, to the purpose of informing the development of a future small area deprivation index. METHODS We searched five electronic databases and seven websites of Brazilian research institutions and governmental agencies. Inclusion criteria were: studies proposing measures of deprivation for small areas (i.e., finer geography than country-level) in Brazil, published in English, Portuguese or Spanish. After data-extraction, results were tabulated according to the area level the deprivation measure was created for and to the dimensions of deprivation or poverty included in the measures. A narrative synthesis approach was used to summarize the measures available, highlighting their utility for public health research. RESULTS A total of 7,199 records were retrieved, 126 full-text articles were assessed after inclusion criteria and a final list of 30 articles was selected. No small-area deprivation measures that have been applied to the whole of Brazil were found. Existing measures were mainly used to study infectious and parasitic diseases. Few studies used the measures to assess inequalities in mortality and no studies used the deprivation measure to evaluate the impact of social programs. CONCLUSIONS No up-to-date small area-based deprivation measure in Brazil covers the whole country. There is a need to develop such an index for Brazil to measure and monitor inequalities in health and mortality, particularly to assess progress in Brazil against the Sustainable Development Goal targets for different health outcomes, showing progress by socioeconomic groups.

https://doi.org/10.11606/s1518-8787.2018052000933 50 downloads

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Area deprivation measures used in Brazil: a scoping review
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Ichihara, Maria Yury Travassos

; Ramos, Dandara

; Rebouças, Poliana

; Oliveira, Flávia Jôse

; Ferreira, Andrêa J. F.

; Teixeira, Camila

; Allik, Mirjam

; Katikireddi, Srinivasa Vittal

; Barreto, Mauricio L.

; Leyland, Alastair H

; Dundas, Ruth

Revista de Saúde Pública

Journal Metrics
- Sobre o periódico
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2018, Volume 52 elocation 83

Abstract: En | Text: En | PDF: En

https://doi.org/10.11606/s1518-8787.2018052000933 1169 downloads

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