The increased frequency of extreme weather events associated with climate change is a growing concern for road authorities, consultants, contractors and end users. Climate change adaptation is not yet incorporated into South Africa's transport design and planning. Current design methods for asphalt pavements include recently introduced performance-graded (PG) specifications for bitumen. Although the need exists to use future-projected temperature maps in the road industry, the hindrance to this adoption has been extracting the appropriate rising air temperatures from climate model projections. This study focuses on the integration of bias-adjusted historical and projected climate model temperature outputs between 1980 and 2060 to estimate changes in pavement temperatures throughout South Africa to inform a strategy for adaptive material selection. Differences in bitumen selection are observed for the PG 58 and PG 52 maximum temperature grade, and an introduction of PG 70 regions, as derived from climate model data in comparison with the SATS 3208 technical standard. The general trend is a gradual increase in maximum pavement design temperatures, mostly affecting the country's northern and central regions and corresponding road networks. This paper concludes that adjustments are required regarding climate projections for use in bituminous binder selection based on the current specification.

Abstract This paper presents a study on kinetic and thermodynamic compensation to evaluate the kinetics of non-enzymatic browning of clarified lemon juices. In a previous work, the kinetic constants of browning were presented using the evolution of the absorbance at 420 nm (A 420) and luminosity (L*) for different soluble solids contents (64.6; 50; 35; 20 and 10 ºBrix) and different working temperatures (70, 80, 90 and 95 ºC). The parameters of the Arrhenius equation were obtained by fitting the kinetic constants and temperatures. The variation of lnK 0 with Ea follows a linear trend, so there is kinetic compensation, with isokinetic temperature values being 126.6 ºC and 149.7 ºC for A 420 and L*, respectively. The transition state equilibrium constants were determined using the Eyring equation for each soluble solids content and each temperature. The equilibrium constants were adjusted to the Van't Hoff equation and the set of pairs of estimated values for the activation enthalpy and the activation entropy also followed a straight line, which causes thermodynamic compensation, with isoequilibrium temperatures of 112.8 ºC and 136.3 ºC for A 420 and L*, respectively. It was concluded that the browning mechanism is the same for the ranges of soluble solids content and temperature studied. Since all isokinetic and isoequilibrium temperatures were higher than the working temperature values, it was also concluded that the control was enthalpic for all cases. To avoid the deterioration of these juices, it is advisable to intervene in the working temperature, trying to ensure that the heat treatment is carried out at the lowest possible temperature.

Resumen En este artículo se presenta un estudio sobre la compensación cinética y termodinámica para evaluar las cinéticas de pardeamiento no enzimático de zumos clarificados de limón. En un trabajo anterior se presentaron las constantes cinéticas de pardeamiento utilizando la evolución de la absorbancia a 420 nm (A 420) y luminosidad (L*) para distintos contenidos en sólidos solubles (64,6; 50; 35; 20 y 10 ºBrix) y diferentes temperaturas de trabajo (70, 80, 90 y 95 ºC). Los parámetros de la ecuación de Arrhenius se obtuvieron al ajustar la variación de las constantes cinéticas con la temperatura. La variación de lnK 0 con E a sigue una tendencia lineal, por lo que existe una compensación cinética, con valores de la temperatura isocinética de 126,6ºC y 149,7ºC para A 420 y L*, respectivamente. Las constantes de equilibrio del estado de transición se determinaron utilizando la ecuación de Eyring para cada contenido en sólidos solubles y cada temperatura. Las constantes de equilibrio se ajustaron a la ecuación de Van't Hoff y el conjunto de los pares de valores estimados para la entalpía de activación y la entropía de activación siguieron una línea recta lo que da lugar a la compensación termodinámica, con unas temperaturas de isoequilibrio de 112,8 ºC y 136,3 ºC para la absorbancia a A 420 y L*, respectivamente. Se concluyó que el mecanismo de pardeamiento es el mismo para los intervalos de contenido en sólidos solubles y temperatura estudiados. Dado que todas las temperaturas isocinéticas y de isoequilibrio fueron superiores a los valores de las temperaturas de trabajo, también se concluyó que el control fue entálpico para todos los casos. Para evitar el deterioro de estos zumos se aconseja intervenir en la temperatura de trabajo, intentando que el tratamiento térmico se lleve a cabo a la menor temperatura posible.

ABSTRACT The objective of this study was to describe the constant drying flux stage, as well as obtaining the critical moisture content during the convective drying of jambu leaf paste crushed under different conditions and characterizing the physical properties of the material after drying. Drying was carried out in an air circulation oven at a speed of 1.0 m s-1 and temperatures of 60, 70 and 80 ºC and layer thicknesses of 0.005 and 0.01 m. To determine the constant rate stage, the mass fluxes and the drying rate were calculated. Segmented polynomials were used to estimate the critical moisture content. Under the analyzed conditions, a typical drying behavior was found, demonstrating the existence of a significant period of constant drying rate for the mass of ground jambu leaves. Critical moisture content as a function of thickness and temperature did not show a trend. The material showed favorable physical characteristics, such as high solubility and cohesiveness, free flow, and good wettability, characteristics that add value to the raw material and for the availability of a new product to the market in the condition of packaging. stage 10 1 0 1. s1 s s- 60 7 8 0005 005 0.00 001 01 0.0 calculated found leaves trend cohesiveness flow wettability packaging 6 000 00 0.

RESUMO Neste estudo objetivou-se descrever o estágio de fluxo de secagem constante, bem como obter o teor de água crítico durante a secagem convectiva da pasta de folhas de jambu trituradas em diferentes condições e caracterizar as propriedades físicas do material após a secagem. A secagem foi realizada em estufa de circulação de ar com velocidade de 1,0 m s-1 nas temperaturas de 60, 70 e 80 ºC e espessuras da camada de 0,005 e 0,01 m. Para a determinação do estágio de taxa constante, foram calculados os fluxos de massa e a taxa de secagem. Os polinômios segmentados foram utilizados para estimar o teor de água crítico. Nas condições analisadas houve um comportamento típico de secagem, demonstrando a existência de um expressivo período de taxa constante de secagem para a pasta de folhas de jambu trituradas. Os teores de água críticos em função da espessura e temperatura não apresentaram uma tendência. O material apresentou características físicas favoráveis, como alta solubilidade e coesividade, escoamento livre e boa molhabilidade, características que agregam valor à matéria-prima e para a disponibilização de um novo produto ao mercado em condição de acondicionamento. objetivouse objetivou se 10 1 0 1, s1 s s- 60 7 8 0005 005 0,00 001 01 0,0 tendência favoráveis coesividade molhabilidade matériaprima matéria prima acondicionamento 6 000 00 0,

ABSTRACT The aim of this study was to evaluate the effect of mordants on the variation of mean fibre diameter (MFD), spinning fineness (SF), and colour tone in alpaca fibre threads dyed with colli flowers (Buddleja coriacea). The dye was extracted using boiling water, followed by immersion of the thread in 160 ml of extract and post-mordanting with collpa, alum, and lemon salt at boiling temperature. MFD was measured using S-Fiber Med equipment. Colorimetry parameters were obtained using a spectrometer, and FT-IR spectrophotometer was used for identification of functional groups. MFD in colli-dyed and post-mordanted threads significantly increased with the addition of mordants, with the highest change observed with lemon salt (30.09 µm). The same trend was observed for SF Dyeing with colli flower extract and subsequent mordant application produced different shades and hues of yellow colour in alpaca thread with significant variations in colorimetry parameters and FT-IR spectrum intensity. The reflectance spectrum R (%) showed a typical yellow colour curve with small differences in intensity due to the mordants used. In conclusion, MFD in colli-dyed thread increased by 0.44 µm; collpa mordanted by 2.78 µm; alum by 3.31 µm, and lemon salt by 3.51 µm compared to white thread, also producing different shades and hues of yellow colour with significant variations in colorimetry parameters and K/S. The sample dyed with colli without mordant presented the highest intensity, and lower intensity was observed in post-mordanted samples in FT-IR.

RESUMEN El objetivo del estudio fue evaluar el efecto de mordientes en la variación de diámetro medio de fibra (DMF), finura al hilado (FH) y el tono de color en hilos de fibra de alpaca teñidos con flores de colli (Buddleja coriacea). El colorante fue extraído usando agua a temperatura de ebullición, seguido del teñido mediante la inmersión del hilo en 160 ml de extracto y finalizando se hizo el pos-mordentado con ccollpa, alumbre y sal de limón a temperatura de ebullición. El DMF se midió utilizando el equipo S-Fiber Med. Los parámetros de colorimetría se obtuvieron utilizando un espectrómetro y para la identificación de los grupos funcionales se utilizó el espectrofotómetro FT-IR. El DMF en hilos teñidos con colli y pos-mordentados incrementaron significativamente con la adición de mordientes, observándose el mayor cambio con sal de limón (30.09 µm). Esta misma tendencia, se presentó para la finura al hilado. El teñido y la posterior aplicación del mordiente produjo diferentes tonos y matices de color amarillo en el hilo de alpaca con variaciones significativas en los parámetros de colorimetría y la intensidad del espectro FT-IR. El espectro de reflectancia R (%) mostró una curva típica del color amarillo con pequeñas diferencias en la intensidad según los mordientes utilizados. En conclusión, el DMF en hilo teñido con colli incrementó en 0.44 µm; mordentado con ccollpa en 2.78 µm; alumbre en 3.31 µm y con sal de limón en 3.51 µm comparado con el hilo blanco; además produjo diferentes tonos y matices de color amarillo con variaciones significativas en los parámetros de colorimetría y K/S. La muestra teñida con colli sin mordiente presentó la intensidad más alta y menor intensidad en muestras posmordentadas en FT-IR.

Abstract The green areas in urban areas have provided a variety of ecosystem services which influence the quality of life of the inhabitants. The objective of this work was to analyze the effect of green areas on the Land Surface Temperature (LST) recorded by remote sensors in the city of Durango, Durango. The existing public and private green areas in the city were differentiated and the area in square meters per inhabitant was calculated. A classification by land use (urban, body of water, bare soil and green area) was carried out in order to analyze the ST derived from Landsat 8 satellite images and geographic information systems (QGIS), in addition a comparison of ST in three types of green areas (parks, squares and gardens, and ridges). The behavior of the ST was analyzed in two seasons of the year, in winter 2021 and spring 2022, identifying the areas with the highest incidence of temperature in two periods. The results indicate a lower ST in green areas compared to urban areas (concrete, construction and asphalt areas), as well as a regulatory trend in larger green areas (parks). The ST satellite product allowed to evaluate the temperature in spaces with vegetation within an urban area and it is shown that the larger the green area, the more thermal regulation exists in urban areas.

Resumen Las áreas verdes de las zonas urbanas contribuyen a la regulación térmica y por lo tanto al confort de la población. El objetivo del presente trabajo fue analizar el efecto de las áreas verdes en la temperatura superficial (TS) registrada mediante sensores remotos en la ciudad de Durango, Durango. Se diferenciaron las áreas verdes públicas y privadas existentes en la ciudad y se calculó la superficie en metros cuadrados por habitante. Se realizó una clasificación por uso de suelo (urbano, cuerpo de agua, suelo desnudo y área verde) con el fin de analizar la TS derivada de imágenes del satélite Landsat 8 y sistemas de información geográfica (QGIS); además, se hizo una comparación de TS en tres tipos de áreas verdes (parques, plazas, jardines y camellones). Se analizó el comportamiento de la TS en dos estaciones del año, en invierno de 2021 y primavera de 2022; a partir de lo cual se identificaron las zonas con mayor incidencia de temperatura en dos periodos. Los resultados indicaron una TS menor en las áreas verdes comparada con el uso de suelo urbano (zonas de concreto, construcción y asfalto), así como una tendencia regulatoria en las áreas verdes de mayor extensión (parques). El producto satelital TS permitió evaluar la temperatura en espacios con vegetación dentro de una zona urbana, y se demuestra que entre mayor es el área verde, más regulación térmica existe en las zonas urbanas.

Resumo O estudo se esforça para analisar as variações potenciais da renda dos agricultores sob a mudança climática usando a abordagem Ricardiana. O estudo de caso foi a província de Mazandaran do Irã e três culturas de outono, ou seja, trigo, cevada e canola foram consideradas como as culturas investigadas. O modelo Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator (LARS-WG) foi selecionado para reduzir a escala dos dados climáticos. Três variáveis climáticas foram reduzidas para os anos 2020-2080 em três cenários climáticos: otimista (RCP2.6), médio (RCP4.5) e pessimista (RCP8.5). A abordagem ricardiana também foi empregada para prever a economia das mudanças climáticas. Assim, projeta-se que a temperatura média mensal da província tenha uma tendência ascendente em todos os cenários climáticos, no entanto, o padrão de chuvas seria variado. Os resultados dos impactos econômicos das mudanças climáticas também aprovaram que a renda líquida das lavouras investigadas seria de tendências diferentes em cenários de mudanças climáticas. Nesse sentido, as variações da temperatura do ar e da pluviosidade fariam com que a renda líquida aumentasse para o trigo e a cevada, enquanto diminuía para a canola.

Abstract The study strives to analyze the potential variations of farmers' income under climate change by using Ricardian approach. The case study was Mazandaran province of Iran and three autumn crops, i.e. wheat, barley and canola were considered as the investigated crops. The Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator (LARS-WG) model was selected to downscale the climate data. Three climate variables were downscaled for the years 2020-2080 under three climate scenarios: optimistic (RCP2.6), medium (RCP4.5), and pessimistic (RCP8.5). The Ricardian approach was also employed to predict the economics of climate change. Accordingly, the mean monthly temperature of the province is projected to have an upward trend under all climate scenarios, however, the rainfall pattern would be varied. The results of economic impacts of climate change also approved that the net income of investigated crops would be different trends under climate change scenarios. Accordingly, the variations of air temperature and rainfall would lead that the net income increases for wheat and barley, while it decreases for canola.

Resumo A tendência de produção de biocombustíveis a partir de triacilgliceróis de microalgas está aumentando, porque esse substrato é uma boa alternativa sustentável e vantajosa ao combustível de petróleo e gás. No presente estudo, isolados de microalgas indígenas foram selecionados de amostras de água (n = 30) e solo (n = 30) coletadas em três distritos de Punjab, Paquistão, para avaliar seu potencial de produção de biocombustíveis. As amostras foram inoculadas em placas de meio BG – 11 agar por incubação em temperatura ambiente de 25°C proporcionando 1000 lux por 16h de ciclo claro seguido de 8h de escuro por 15 dias. As amostras de água foram ricas em microalgas e 65.33% de microalgas (49 isolados) foram isolados do distrito de Faisalabad. Com base na morfologia microscópica, isolados de microalgas (n = 180) foram selecionados e submetidos à detecção de lipídios por ensaio de coloração com vermelho do Nilo. Isolados positivos para vermelho do Nilo (n = 23) foram processados para caracterização bioquímica (lipídica, proteica e de carboidratos). O isolado AIN63 apresentou maior teor de lipídios (17.4%) conforme detectado pelo ensaio de microvanilina. O isolado de alga AIN128 apresentou os melhores teores de proteína (42.91%) detectados pelo ensaio de Bradford, e o isolado AIN172 apresentou maiores teores de carboidratos (73.83%), conforme detectado pelo ensaio de anthrone. Os isolados de algas selecionados também foram analisados por espectroscopia de infravermelho com transformada de Fourier (FTIR) para confirmação da análise de carboidratos, proteínas e lipídios. Essas algas nativas têm potencial para a produção de biocombustíveis in vitro a partir de resíduos agrícolas.

Abstract Trend of biofuel production from microalgal triacylglycerols is enhancing, because this substrate is a good sustainable and advantageous alternative to oil and gas fuel. In the present study, indigenous micro algal isolates were screened from water (n=30) and soil (n=30) samples collected from three districts of Punjab, Pakistan to evaluate their biofuel production potential. The samples were inoculated on BG – 11 agar medium plates by incubating at room temperature of 25°C providing 1000 lux for 16h light cycle followed by 8h of dark cycle for 15 d. Water samples were found to be rich in microalgae and 65.33% microalgae (49 isolates) were isolated from Faisalabad district. On the basis of microscopic morphology microalgal isolates (n=180) were selected and subjected to lipid detection by Nile red staining assay. Nile red positive isolates (n=23) were processed for biochemical (lipid, protein and carbohydrates) characterization. AIN63 isolate showed higher lipids (17.4%) content as detected by micro vanillin assay. Algal isolate AIN128 showed best protein contents (42.91%) detected by Bradford assay and AIN172 isolate showed higher carbohydrate contents (73.83%) as detected by anthrone assay. The selected algal isolates were also analyzed by Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy for confirmation of carbohydrate, protein and lipid analysis. These indigenous algae have the potential for in-vitro biofuel production from agricultural waste.

Abstract This work investigated the annual variations in dry snow (DSRZ) and wet snow radar zones (WSRZ) in the north of the Antarctic Peninsula between 2015-2023. A specific code for snow zone detection on Sentinel-1 images was created on Google Earth Engine by combining the CryoSat-2 digital elevation model and air temperature data from ERA5. Regions with backscatter coefficients (σ⁰) values exceeding -6.5 dB were considered the extent of surface melt occurrence, and the dry snow line was considered to coincide with the -11 °C isotherm of the average annual air temperature. The annual variation in WSRZ exhibited moderate correlations with annual average air temperature, total precipitation, and the sum of annual degree-days. However, statistical tests indicated low determination coefficients and no significant trend values in DSRZ behavior with atmospheric variables. The results of reducing DSRZ area for 2019/2020 and 2020/2021 compared to 2018/2018 indicated the upward in dry zone line in this AP region. The methodology demonstrated its efficacy for both quantitative and qualitative analyses of data obtained in digital processing environments, allowing for the large-scale spatial and temporal variations monitoring and for the understanding changes in glacier mass loss. (DSRZ (WSRZ 20152023. 20152023 2015 2023. 2023 2015-2023 Sentinel1 Sentinel 1 Sentinel- CryoSat2 CryoSat 2 CryoSat- ERA5 ERA σ⁰ σ (σ⁰ 6.5 65 6 5 -6. occurrence 11 -1 C precipitation degreedays. degreedays degree days. days degree-days However variables 20192020 2019 2020 2019/202 20202021 2021 2020/202 20182018 2018 2018/201 region environments largescale large scale loss 2015202 201 202 2015-202 (σ 6. -6 - 2019202 2019/20 2020202 2020/20 2018201 2018/20 201520 20 2015-20 201920 2019/2 202020 2020/2 201820 2018/2 20152 2015-2 20192 2019/ 20202 2020/ 20182 2018/ 2015-

Abstract Ground temperature’s sensitivity to climate change has garnered attention. This study aimed to monitor and analyze temporal trends and estimate Active Layer Thickness from a monitoring point at Fildes Peninsula, King George Island, in Antarctica. Quality control and consistency analysis were performed on the data. Methods such as serial autocorrelation, Mann-Kendall, Sen-Slope, Pettitt, and regression analysis tests were applied. Spearman’s correlation examined the relationship between air temperature and ground depths. The active layer thickness was estimated using the maximum monthly temperature, and the permafrost lower limit used the minimum monthly temperature. Significant summer seasonal trends were observed with Mann-Kendall tau, positive Sen-Slope, and Pettitt slope at depths of 67.5 and 83.5 cm. The regression analysis was significant and positive for all ground depths and in different seasons. The highest correlation (r=0.82) between air temperature and surface ground depth was found. Freezing prevailed at all depths during 2008-2018. The average Active Layer Thickness (ALT) was 92.61 cm. Temperature is difficult to monitor, and its estimation is still complex. However, it stands out as a fundamental element for studies that refer to the impacts of climate change temperatures s attention Peninsula Island Antarctica data autocorrelation MannKendall, MannKendall Mann Kendall, Kendall SenSlope, SenSlope Sen Slope, Slope Sen-Slope applied Spearmans Spearman tau 675 67 5 67. 835 83 83. cm seasons r=0.82 r082 r 0 82 (r=0.82 found 20082018. 20082018 2008 2018. 2018 2008-2018 ALT (ALT 9261 92 61 92.6 complex However 6 8 r=0.8 r08 (r=0.8 2008201 200 201 2008-201 926 9 92. r=0. r0 (r=0. 200820 20 2008-20 r=0 (r=0 20082 2 2008-2 r= (r= 2008- (r

Air pollution dispersion over Richards Bay, South Africa is studied using satellite, reanalysis and in-situ measurements. Near-surface concentrations of trace gases and particulates reach high concentrations under dry stable 'berg' winds. Temporal records of CO, NO2, O3, PM2.5, SO2 (2000-2023) exhibit no trend and short-term dose excedances of individual pollutants are rare and confined to winter mornings. Regional point-to-field correlation maps of a Richards Bay winter air pollution index found that anomalous warming of the west Indian Ocean accelerates the jet stream over Madagascar and pulls smoke- and dust-laden north-westerly winds across the South African plateau, implicating long-range transport. At daily and hourly time scales dewpoint temperature and boundary layer height best indicate changes in local air pollution dispersion that impact respiratory health. A case study of 15-17 June 2021 revealed a 10°C thermal inversion caused by negative sensible heat fluxes of -40 W/m² through the night, leading to SO2 concentrations above 100 ppb in the morning along the main access road (28.8°S, 32°E). Poor dispersion seldom happens in the summer when turbulent mixing and rainfall cleanse the air.

Abstract With the evolution of energy storage, Thermal Runaway (TR) stands out as the most critical safety concern for Lithium-Ion Batteries (LIBs). This study employs a prismatic lithium battery with a nominal capacity of 40Ah, featuring Li(Ni0.6Co0.2Mn0.2)O2 as the cathode material. The investigation delves into the thermal runaway characteristics of the battery at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% State of Charge (SOC) in a nitrogen environment. The findings indicate: 1) an ascending trend in the highest temperatures at various points within the battery as SOC increases, accompanied by a declining trend in normalized gas production and a non-linear relationship between the heat released during TR and the stored electrochemical energy; 2) the highest temperature point within the battery consistently resides at the surface, offering insights for the temperature monitoring of the Battery Thermal Management System (BTMS); 3) a direct correlation between higher SOC and increased material ejection, with a mass loss rate of 25.8% at 100% SOC, a static total gas production of 2.45 mol, and a maximum explosion index of 0.2886 kPa⋅m⋅s⁻¹. storage (TR LithiumIon Lithium Ion LIBs. LIBs . (LIBs) 40Ah Ah LiNi0.6Co0.2Mn0.2O2 LiNi06Co02Mn02O2 LiNiCoMnO Li Ni0.6Co0.2Mn0.2 O2 Ni0 6Co0 2Mn0 2 Ni Co Mn O Li(Ni0.6Co0.2Mn0.2)O 25 25% 50 50% 75 75% 100 (SOC environment indicate 1 increases nonlinear non linear surface BTMS (BTMS) 3 ejection 258 8 25.8 245 45 2.4 mol 02886 0 2886 0.288 kPams¹ kPams kPa m s ¹ kPa⋅m⋅s⁻¹ (LIBs LiNi0 2O2 LiNi LiNi0.6Co0.2Mn0.2O LiNi06Co02Mn02O Ni06Co02Mn02 NiCoMn Ni0.6Co0.2Mn0. 6Co 2Mn 5 7 10 (BTMS 25. 24 4 2. 0288 288 0.28 kPa⋅m⋅s⁻ 2O Ni06Co02Mn0 Ni0.6Co0.2Mn0 028 28 0.2 kPa⋅m⋅s Ni06Co02Mn Ni0.6Co0.2Mn 02 0.

ABSTRACT The present study aims to examine the current trend of annual precipitation and temperature series referred to the Eastern Mediterranean basin on a national basis, including the annual variability of sea surface temperature anomalies and the connection effect with the North Atlantic Oscillation and the Mediterranean Oscillation indices (NAOI and MOI, respectively). The period under consideration is mainly the last 32 years, from 1990 to 2021. Additionally, the prediction of monthly and yearly temperature and precipitation series, based on the autoregressive integrated moving average model on a national base, for the next four or eight years, is another interesting feature of the present study. Results indicate rising trends in the annual precipitation during 1990-2021, mostly non-significant and significant warming trends in the annual temperature, including sea surface temperature. The NAOI is highly correlated mostly with annual temperature, whereas the MOI does not affect the variation of annual precipitation and temperature. The results of the present study are in general agreement with the results of available studies in the literature, and they could be of high interest to national authorities and environmental unions/organizations, to help decision-makers face climate change.

RESUMEN El objetivo del presente estudio es examinar a nivel nacional la tendencia actual de las series anuales de precipitación y temperatura referidas a la cuenca del Mediterráneo Oriental, incluyendo la variabilidad anual de las anomalías de la temperatura superficial del mar y el efecto de conexión con los índices de la Oscilación del Atlántico Norte y la Oscilación del Mediterráneo (NAOI y MOI por sus siglas en inglés, respectivamente). El periodo considerado abarca principalmente los últimos 32 años, desde 1990 hasta 2021. Adicionalmente, la predicción de las series de temperatura y precipitación mensuales y anuales, basadas en el Modelo Autorregresivo Integrado de Media Móvil sobre una base nacional, para los próximos cuatro u ocho años, es otra característica interesante del presente estudio. Los resultados indican tendencias crecientes en la precipitación anual de 1990 a 2021, en su mayoría tendencias de calentamiento significativas y no significativas en la temperatura anual, incluida la temperatura superficial del mar. El índice NAOI está altamente correlacionado principalmente con la temperatura anual, mientras que el índice MOI no afecta la variación de la precipitación y temperatura anuales. Los resultados del presente estudio coincidieron en general con aquellos de los estudios disponibles en la literatura, y podrían suponer un alto interés para autoridades nacionales y gremios u organizaciones ambientalistas, como instrumento para ayudar a los encargados de la toma de decisiones a enfrentar el cambio climático.

BACKGROUND: Understanding factors that impact HIV viral load (VL) accuracy in resource-limited settings is key to quality improvement OBJECTIVE: We evaluated whether testing delay and specimen storage between 25 °C and 30 °C before testing affected results METHODS: Between November 2019 and June 2023, 249 individuals on antiretroviral therapy, or with newly diagnosed HIV, were recruited from clinics in Cape Town and Gqeberha, South Africa, and three plasma preparation tubes were collected. One tube was tested within 24 h, while the others were stored uncentrifuged at ambient temperatures before testing. Centrifugation and testing of matched samples were performed on Day 4 and Day 7 after collection RESULTS: Time delay and ambient storage had minimal impact in specimens with a Day 1 VL of > 100 copies/mL. When grouped by Day 1 VL range, 96% - 100% of specimens at Day 4 and 93% - 100% at Day 7 had VLs within 0.5 log copies/mL of the first result. The greatest variability at Days 4 and 7 was observed when the Day 1 VL was < 100 copies/mL. However, there was no trend of increasing difference over time. Of Day 1 specimens with undetectable VL, or VL < 50 copies/mL, 80% had concordant results at Day 4 and 78% at Day 7 CONCLUSION: These results show that VL is stable in plasma preparation tubes for 7 days when stored at room temperature. There is significant variability in specimens with low VL, but variability is not affected by testing delay WHAT THIS STUDY ADDS: Ideal HIV VL testing conditions are frequently unachievable in resource-limited settings. Data are needed on whether this impacts on the validity of test results. Our results provide reassurance that storage at ambient temperature for up to 7 days before testing does not substantially affect the VL result

Abstract This article analyzes the trends in urban development in an area of 6930 hectares in the northern sector of Bogotá that includes the Northern Zonal Management Plan (POZN, in Spanish) and part of the Thomas Van der Hammen Nature Reserve (RTVH, in Spanish). The plan established by the Mayor’s Office through Decree 088 of 2017 seeks to manage an urban development trend that has occurred de facto, with important ecological and social consequences, while the RTVH intends to protect the ecological characteristics of this sector located between the hills and the Bogotá River. The method consisted of analyzing time series of surface temperature and vegetation using remote sensing techniques and radiometric indicators to identify the structural changes experienced by the sector in terms of its biophysical components. The results of the analysis show that the urbanization process taking place in the northern sector of Bogotá is the driver of the observed trends in the biophysical space beyond the legal protection instruments currently in force, including POZN and RTVH. In the case of RTVH, the protection framework has been insufficient to preserve the ecological characteristics that led to its creation. The inclusion of empirical evidence in urban development planning, such as that shown in this work, is key to advancing the active protection of the environment beyond the regulatory discourse.

Resumen Este trabajo presenta un análisis de las tendencias de desarrollo urbano del sector norte de Bogotá, en un área de 6930 hectáreas que incluye el Plan de Ordenamiento Zonal del Norte (POZN) y parte de la reserva natural Thomas Van der Hammen (RTVH). El plan propuesto por la Alcaldía mediante el Decreto 088 de 2017 intenta dar coherencia a un desarrollo urbano que ha ocurrido de facto y con importantes consecuencias ecológicas y sociales mientras que la RTVH intenta proteger las características ecológicas de este sector entre los cerros y el rio Bogotá. El método consistió en analizar series de tiempo de temperatura de la superficie y de vegetación mediante técnicas de teledetección e indicadores radiométricos para identificar los cambios estructurales que ha experimentado el sector en términos de sus componentes biofísicos. Los resultados del análisis ponen en evidencia que el proceso de urbanización instalado en el sector norte de Bogotá es el determinante de las tendencias del espacio biofísico observadas, más allá de las figuras de protección legal que existen que incluyen el POZN y la RTVH. En el caso de la RTVH, el marco de protección no ha sido efectivo para preservar las características ecológicas que justificaron su creación. La inclusión de evidencia empírica como la mostrada en este trabajo en la planificación del desarrollo urbano es clave para avanzar en la protección activa del medio ambiente, más allá del discurso normativo.

Abstract Human activities are altering the existing patterns of Land Use Land Cover (LULC) and Land Surface Temperature (LST) on a global scale. However, long-term trends of LULC and LST are largely unknown in many remote mountain areas such as the Karakorum. . The objective of our study therefore was to evaluate the historical changes in land use and land cover (LULC) in an alpine environment located in Islamabad Capital Territory, Pakistan. We used Landsat satellite pictures (namely Landsat 5 TM and Landsat 8 OLI) from the years 1988, 2002, and 2016 and applied the Maximum Likelihood Classification (MLC) approach to categorize land use classes. Land Surface Temperatures (LST) were calculated using the thermal bands (6, 10, and 11) of Landsat series data. The correlation between the Human Modification Index (HMI) and LULC as well as LST was evaluated by utilizing data from Google Earth Engine (GEE). Over the study period, the urbanized area increased by 9.94%, whilst the agricultural and bare soil areas decreased by 3.81% and 3.94%, respectively. The findings revealed a significant change in the LULC with a decrease of 1.99% in vegetation. The highest LST class exhibited a progressive trend, with an increase from 12.27% to 48.48%. Based on the LST analysis, the built-up area shows the highest temperature, followed by the barren, agricultural, and vegetation categories. Similarly, the HMI for different LST categories indicates that higher LST categories have higher levels of human alteration compared to lower LST categories, with a strong correlation (R-value = 0.61) between HMI and LST. The findings can be utilized to promote sustainable urban management and for biodiversity conservation efforts. The work also has the potential of utilizing it to protect delicate ecosystems from human interference and to formulate strategies and regulations for sustainable urban growth, including aspects of land utilization and zoning, reduction of urban heat stress, and urban infrastructure. (LULC (LST scale However longterm long term Karakorum Territory Pakistan namely OLI 1988 2002 201 MLC (MLC classes 6, 6 (6 10 11 (HMI GEE. GEE (GEE) period 994 9 94 9.94% 381 3 81 3.81 394 3.94% respectively 199 1 99 1.99 trend 1227 12 27 12.27 4848 48 48.48% analysis builtup built up temperature barren Similarly Rvalue R value 0.61 061 0 61 efforts growth zoning stress infrastructure 198 200 20 ( (GEE 9.94 38 3.8 39 3.94 19 1.9 122 2 12.2 484 4 48.48 0.6 06 9.9 3. 3.9 1. 12. 48.4 0. 9. 48.

Resumo As atividades humanas estão alterando os padrões existentes de uso e cobertura do solo (LULC) e temperatura da superfície terrestre (TST) em escala global. No entanto, as tendências a longo prazo de LULC e LST são, em grande parte, desconhecidas em muitas áreas montanhosas remotas, como em Karakorum. O objetivo do nosso estudo foi, portanto, avaliar as mudanças históricas no uso e cobertura da terra (LULC) em um ambiente alpino localizado no Território da Capital Islamabad, Paquistão. Utilizamos imagens de satélite Landsat (nomeadamente Landsat 5 TM e Landsat 8 OLI) dos anos de 1988, 2002 e 2016 e aplicamos a abordagem de Classificação de Máxima Verossimilhança (MLC) para categorizar as classes de uso da terra. As temperaturas da superfície terrestre (TST) foram calculadas usando as bandas térmicas (6, 10 e 11) dos dados da série Landsat. A correlação entre o Índice de Modificação Humana (HMI) e o LULC, bem como o LST, foi avaliada utilizando dados do Google Earth Engine (GEE). Durante o período de estudo, a área urbanizada aumentou 9,94%, enquanto as áreas agrícolas e de solo descoberto diminuíram 3,81% e 3,94%, respectivamente. Os resultados revelaram uma mudança significativa no LULC, com uma diminuição de 1,99% na vegetação. A classe LST mais alta apresentou tendência progressiva, com aumento de 12,27% para 48,48%. Com base na análise do LST, a área construída apresentou a temperatura mais elevada, seguida pelas categorias árida, agrícola e vegetação. Da mesma forma, o HMI para diferentes categorias de LST indicou que as categorias mais altas de LST apresentaram níveis mais elevados de alteração humana em comparação com as categorias mais baixas de LST, com uma forte correlação (valor R = 0,61) entre HMI e LST. As conclusões podem ser tomadas como base para promover a gestão urbana sustentável e para esforços de conservação da biodiversidade. O trabalho também tem o potencial de ser utilizado para proteger ecossistemas delicados da interferência humana e para formular estratégias e regulamentos para o crescimento urbano sustentável, incluindo aspectos de utilização e zoneamento da terra, redução do estresse térmico urbano e infraestrutura urbana. (LULC TST (TST global entanto são parte remotas Karakorum portanto Islamabad Paquistão nomeadamente OLI 1988 200 201 MLC (MLC 6, 6 (6 1 11 (HMI GEE. GEE . (GEE) 994 9 94 9,94% 381 3 81 3,81 394 3,94% respectivamente 199 99 1,99 vegetação progressiva 1227 12 27 12,27 4848 48 48,48% elevada árida forma valor 0,61 061 0 61 biodiversidade 198 20 ( (GEE 9,94 38 3,8 39 3,94 19 1,9 122 2 12,2 484 4 48,48 0,6 06 9,9 3, 3,9 1, 12, 48,4 0, 9, 48,