Abstract Definitions of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) cut-off values for HF with mildly reduced LVEF (HFmrEF) have been a subject of debate, in the face of evidence that some drugs used in the treatment of HF with LFEV < 40% (HFrEF) are also effective in patients with LVEF < 60%. The aim of this study was to compare overall survival and cardiovascular survival in HF patients with LVEF of 40-59% in patients with HFrEF and HF with LVEF ≥ 60%. Patients with decompensated HF who met the Framingham diagnostic criteria at hospital admission between 2009 and 2011 were included. Patients were divided into HFrEF, HF with LVEF 40-59%, and HF with LVEF ≥ 60%. The Kaplan-Meier was used to determine ten-year overall survival and cardiovascular survival. The statistical significance was established at p<0.05. A total of 400 patients were included, with a mean age of 69 ± 14 years. Cardiovascular survival in patients with HF and LVEF of 40-59% was not significantly different than in patients with HFrEF (adjusted Hazard Ratio [HR] 0.86; 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 0.61-1.22, Ptrend = NS), but was statistically different compared with patients with LVEF ≥ 60% (adjusted HR of 0.64; 95% CI 0.44-0.94, Ptrend = 0.023). No difference was found in 10-year survival between the LVEF groups. Patients with HF and LVEF ≥ 60% had significantly higher cardiovascular survival compared with the other groups.

Resumo Os limites da fração de ejeção do ventrículo esquerdo (FEVE) para a insuficiência cardíaca (IC) com FEVE levemente reduzida (ICFElr) têm sido questionados, já que evidências demonstram que alguns medicamentos utilizados para IC com FEVE <40% (ICFEr) demonstram eficácia também em populações com FEVE < 60%. Objetivo do estudo foi comparar a sobrevida total e cardiovascular de pacientes com IC com FEVE 40-59% com paciente com ICFEr e IC com FEVE ≥ 60%. Foram incluídos pacientes com IC descompensada que preencheram os critérios diagnósticos de Framingham na admissão hospitalar entre 2009 e 2011. Os pacientes foram divididos em ICFEr, IC com FEVE 40-59% e IC com FEVE ≥ 60%. O método de Kaplan-Meier foi usado para detectar a sobrevida geral e cardiovascular em 10 anos. A significância estatística foi estabelecida em p <0,05. Foram incluídos 400 pacientes, com idade média de 69 ± 14 anos. A sobrevida cardiovascular nos pacientes com IC e FEVE 40-59% não foi diferente em comparação aos pacientes com ICFEr [Hazard Ratio (HR) ajustado 0,86 – Intervalo de Confiança (IC) 95% 0,61-1,22; Ptrend = NS], mas foi estatisticamente diferente em comparação aos com FEVE ≥ 60% (HR ajustado = 0,64 - IC95% 0,44-0,94; Ptrend = 0,023). Não houve diferença na taxa de sobrevida de 10 anos entre diferentes grupos de FEVE. O grupo de pacientes com IC e FEVE ≥ 60% teve maior sobrevida cardiovascular que os outros grupos.

Abstract Introduction: Stroke is a complication that causes considerable morbidity and mortality during the heart surgery postoperative period (incidence: 1.3 to 5%; mortality: 13 to 41%). Models for assessing the risk of stroke after heart surgery have been proposed, but most of them do not evaluate postoperative morbidity. The aim of this study was to develop a risk score for postoperative stroke in patients who undergo heart surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass. Methods: A cohort study was conducted with data from 4,862 patients who underwent surgery from 1996 to 2016. Logistic regression was used to assess relationships between risk factors and stroke. Data from 3,258 patients were used to construct the model. The model’s performance was then validated using data from the remainder of the patients (n=1,604). The model’s accuracy was tested using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Results: The prevalence of stroke during the postoperative period was 3% (n=149); 59% of the patients who exhibited this outcome were male, 51% were aged ≥ 66 years, and 31.5% of the patients died. The variables that remained as independent predictors of the outcome after multivariate analysis were advanced age, urgent/emergency surgery, peripheral arterial occlusive disease, history of cerebrovascular disease, and cardiopulmonary bypass time ≥ 110 minutes. The area under the ROC curve was 0.71 (95% confidence interval 0.66 - 0.75). Conclusion: We were able to develop a risk score for stroke after heart surgery. This score classifies patients as low, medium, high, or very high risk of a surgery-related stroke.

Abstract Background Prolonged mechanical ventilation (MV) after cardiac surgery imposes a significant burden on the patient in terms of morbidity and financial hospital costs. Objective To develop a risk score model to predict prolonged MV in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery. Methods This was a historical cohort study of 4165 adult patients undergoing CABG between January 1996 and December 2016. MV for periods ≥ 12 hours was considered prolonged. Logistic regression was used to examine the relationship between risk predictors and prolonged MV. The variables were scored according to the odds ratio. To build the risk score, the database was randomly divided into 2 parts: development data set (2/3) with 2746 patients and internal validation data set (1/3) with 1419 patients. The final score was validated in the total database and the model's accuracy was tested by performance statistics. Significance was established at p < 0.05. Results Prolonged MV was observed in 783 (18.8%) patients. Predictors of risk were age ≥ 65 years, urgent/emergency surgery, body mass index ≥ 30 kg/m2, chronic kidney disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and cardiopulmonary bypass time ≥ 120 minutes. The area under the ROC curve was 0.66 (95% CI, 0.64-0.68; p<0.001), the Hosmer-Lemeshow chi-square test was χ2: 3.38 (p=0.642), and Pearson's correlation was r = 0.99 (p<0.001), indicating the model’s satisfactory ability to predict the occurrence of prolonged MV. Conclusion Selected variables allowed the construction of a simplified risk score for daily practice, which may classify the patients as having low, moderate, high, and very high risk. (Int J Cardiovasc Sci. 2020; [online].ahead print, PP.0-0

Resumo Fundamento A insuficiência cardíaca (IC) com fração de ejeção na faixa média ou intermediária (ICFEI) (em inglês, “mid-range ejection fraction) foi recentemente descrita em diretrizes europeia e brasileira recentes sobre o manejo da insuficiência cardíaca (IC). A fração de ejeção (FE) é um parâmetro importante para direcionar terapia e prognóstico. Estudos têm mostrado resultados conflitantes sem dados representativos de países em desenvolvimento. Objetivo Analisar e comparar a taxa de sobrevida em pacientes com ICFEI com pacientes com IC e FE reduzida (ICFEr), e pacientes com IC e FE preservada, e avaliar as características clínicas desses pacientes. Métodos Estudo coorte que incluiu pacientes com IC aguda admitidos no departamento de emergência de um hospital terciário, referência em cardiologia, localizado no sul do Brasil, entre 2009 e 2011. A amostra foi dividida em três grupos de acordo com a FE: reduzida, intermediária e preservada. Curva de Kaplan-Meier foi analisada de acordo com a FE, e uma análise de regressão logística foi realizada. A significância estatística foi estabelecida em p<0,05. Resultados Um total de 380 pacientes foram analisados. A maioria dos pacientes apresentaram ICFEp (515), seguido de ICFEr (32%) e ICFEI (17%). Os pacientes com ICFEI apresentaram características intermediárias em relação à idade, pressão arterial, e diâmetros ventriculares, e a maioria era de etiologia isquêmica. O período mediano de acompanhamento foi de 4 anos. Não se observou diferença na sobrevida geral ou na mortalidade cardiovascular (p=0,03) entre os grupos de FE (FE reduzida: mortalidade de 40,5%; FE intermediária: 39,7%, e FE preservada 26%). A mortalidade hospitalar foi 7,6%. Conclusão Não houve diferença na taxa de sobrevida entre os grupos de FE diferentes. Os pacientes com ICFEI apresentaram maior mortalidade por doenças cardiovasculares em comparação a pacientes com ICFEp. (Arq Bras Cardiol. 2021; 116(1):14-23)

Abstract Background Heart Failure with mid-range Ejection Fraction (HFmEF) was recently described by European and Brazilian guidelines on Heart Failure (HF). The ejection fraction (EF) is an important parameter to guide therapy and prognosis. Studies have shown conflicting results without representative data from developing countries. Objective To analyze and compare survival rate in patients with HFmEF, HF patients with reduced EF (HFrEF), and HF patients with preserved EF (HFpEF), and to evaluate the clinical characteristics of these patients. Methods A cohort study that included adult patients with acute HF admitted through the emergency department to a tertiary hospital, reference in cardiology, in south Brazil from 2009 to 2011. The sample was divided into three groups according to EF: reduced, mid-range and preserved. A Kaplan-Meier curve was analyzed according to the EF, and a logistic regression analysis was done. Statistical significance was established as p < 0.05. Results A total of 380 patients were analyzed. Most patients had HFpEF (51%), followed by patients with HFrEF (32%) and HFmEF (17%). Patients with HFmEF showed intermediate characteristics related to age, blood pressure and ventricular diameters, and most patients were of ischemic etiology. Median follow-up time was 4.0 years. There was no statistical difference in overall survival or cardiovascular mortality (p=.0031) between the EF groups (reduced EF: 40.5% mortality; mid-range EF 39.7% and preserved EF 26%). Hospital mortality was 7.6%. Conclusion There was no difference in overall survival rate between the EF groups. Patients with HFmEF showed higher mortality from cardiovascular diseases in comparison with HFpEF patients. (Arq Bras Cardiol. 2021; 116(1):14-23)

OBJETIVOS: Determinar os preditores de risco relacionados ao desenvolvimento de acidente vascular cerebral em pacientes que realizaram cirurgia cardíaca. Métodos: Estudo de coorte histórico. Incluímos 4626 pacientes com idade > 18 anos submetidos à cirurgia de revascularização do miocárdio, cirurgia cardíaca valvar isolada ou cirurgia valvar associada com revascularização do miocárdio, de janeiro de 1996 e dezembro de 2011. A relação entre os preditores de risco e o acidente vascular cerebral foi avaliada por modelo de regressão logística com nível de significância de 0,05. Resultados: A incidência de acidente vascular cerebral foi 3% na amostra total. A análise multivariada identificou como preditores de risco para o acidente vascular cerebral: idade 50-65 anos (OR=2,11 - 95% IC 1,05-4,23 - P=0,036) e idade > 66 anos (OR=3,22 - 95% IC 1,6-6,47 - P=0,001), cirurgia de urgência/emergência (OR=2,03 - 95% IC 1,20-3,45 - P=0,008), valvulopatia aórtica (OR=2,32 - 95% IC 1,18-4,56 - P=0,014), fibrilação atrial (OR=1,88 - 95% IC 1,05-3,34 - P=0,032), doença arterial obstrutiva periférica (OR=1,81 - 95% IC 1,13-2,92 - P=0,014), história de doença cerebrovascular (OR=3,42 - 95% IC 2,19-5,35 - P<0,001) e tempo de circulação extracorpórea >110 minutos (OR=1,71 - 95% IC 1,16-2,53 - P=0,007). A mortalidade foi 31,9% nos pacientes que sofreram AVC e 8,5% nos sem AVC (OR=5,06 - 95% IC 3,5-7,33 - P<0,001). Conclusão: Idade, cirurgia de urgência/emergência, doença de valva aórtica, história de fibrilação atrial, doença arterial obstrutiva periférica, história de doença cerebrovascular e tempo de circulação extracorpórea > 110 minutos foram preditores independentes para o desenvolvimento de AVC intra-hospitalar, em pacientes submetidos à cirurgia cardíaca.

Objective: To determine the risk factors related to the development of stroke in patients undergoing cardiac surgery. Methods: A historical cohort study. We included 4626 patients aged > 18 years who underwent coronary artery bypass surgery, heart valve replacement surgery alone or heart valve surgery combined with coronary artery bypass grafting between January 1996 and December 2011. The relationship between risk predictors and stroke was assessed by logistic regression model with a significance level of 0.05. Results: The incidence of stroke was 3% in the overall sample. After logistic regression, the following risk predictors for stroke were found: age 50-65 years (OR=2.11 - 95% CI 1.05-4.23 - P=0.036) and age >66 years (OR=3.22 - 95% CI 1.6-6.47 - P=0.001), urgent and emergency surgery (OR=2.03 - 95% CI 1.20-3.45 - P=0.008), aortic valve disease (OR=2.32 - 95% CI 1.18-4.56 - P=0.014), history of atrial fibrillation (OR=1.88 - 95% CI 1.05-3.34 - P=0.032), peripheral artery disease (OR=1.81 - 95% CI 1.13-2.92 - P=0.014), history of cerebrovascular disease (OR=3.42 - 95% CI 2.19-5.35 - P<0.001) and cardiopulmonary bypass time > 110 minutes (OR=1.71 - 95% CI 1.16-2.53 - P=0.007). Mortality was 31.9% in the stroke group and 8.5% in the control group (OR=5.06 - 95% CI 3.5-7.33 - P<0.001). Conclusion: The study identified the following risk predictors for stroke after cardiac surgery: age, urgent and emergency surgery, aortic valve disease, history of atrial fibrillation, peripheral artery disease, history of cerebrovascular disease and cardiopulmonary bypass time > 110 minutes.

INTRODUÇÃO: A mediastinite é uma grave complicação do pós-operatório de cirurgia cardíaca, com prevalência de 0,4 a 5% e mortalidade entre 14 e 47%. Vários modelos foram propostos para avaliar risco de mediastinite após cirurgia cardíaca. OBJETIVO: Desenvolver um modelo de escore de risco para prever mediastinite em pacientes submetidos à cirurgia de revascularização do miocárdio. MÉTODOS: A amostra do estudo inclui dados de 2.809 pacientes adultos que realizaram cirurgia de revascularização do miocárdio, entre janeiro de 1996 e dezembro de 2007, no Hospital São Lucas da PUCRS. Regressão logística foi usada para examinar a relação entre fatores de risco e o desenvolvimento de mediastinite. Dados de 1.889 pacientes foram usados para desenvolver o modelo e seu desempenho foi avaliado nos dados restantes (n=920). O modelo final foi criado com a análise dos dados de 2.809 pacientes. RESULTADOS: O índice de mediastinite foi de 3,3%, com mortalidade de 26,6%. Na análise multivariada, cinco variáveis permaneceram preditores independentes para o desfecho: doença pulmonar obstrutiva crônica, obesidade, reintervenção cirúrgica, politransfusão no pós-operatório e angina estável classe IV ou instável. A área sob a curva ROC foi 0,72 (IC 95%, 0,67-0,78) e P = 0,61. CONCLUSÃO: O escore de risco foi construído para uso na prática diária para calcular o índice de mediastinite após cirurgia de revascularização do miocárdio. O escore inclui variáveis coletadas rotineiramente e de fácil utilização.

INTRODUCTION: The mediastinitis is a serious postoperative complication of cardiac surgery, with an incidence of 0.4 to 5% and mortality between 14 and 47%. Several models were proposed to assess risk of mediastinitis after cardiac surgery. However, most of these models do not evaluate the postoperative morbidity. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to develop a score risk model to predict the risk of mediastinitis for patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting. METHODS: The study sample included data from 2,809 adult patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting between January 1996 and December 2007 at Hospital São Lucas -PUCRS. Logistic regression was used to examine the relationship between risk factors and the development of mediastinitis. Data from 1,889 patients were used to develop the model and its performance was evaluated in the remaining data (n=920). The definitive model was created with the data analisys of 2,809 patients. RESULTS: The rate of mediastinitis was 3.3%, with mortality of 26.6%. In the multivariate analysis, five variables remained independent predictors of the outcome: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, obesity, surgical reintervention, blood transfusion and stable angina class IV or unstable. The area under the ROC curve was 0.72 (95% CI, 0.67-0.78) and P = 0.61. CONCLUSION: The risk score was constructed for use in daily practice to calculate the rate of mediastinitis after coronary artery bypass grafting. The score includes routinely collected variables and is simple to use.